Interesting point here from Sanjay Jha today. He likens Andriod eventually beating iPhone in the market place to the way Windows dominated Apple/Mac in the PC market in the 80s and 90s.
http://www.itproportal.com/portal/news/article/2010/7/27/motorola-ceo-tips-android-dominate-smartphone-market/
There are still a bunch of mobile OS's out there, and a few of them may die out. Perhaps Sanjay Jha is right in some ways..
One key difference to note is the licensing model. The core of andriod is still GPLv2 , though most of the user space infrastructure is Apache. This drastically changes the dynamics as barriers to emulate something like Andriod in the market place seems to be really low, unlike what was the case with Windows in the 80s and 90s.
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